Forecasting the future of hospitals in low and middle-income countries
International Hospital Federation - IHF
| 8 months ago
Authors: Dr. Olusoji Adeyi and Dr. Mickey Chopra
Introduction: more of the same?
At first glance the future trajectories of hospitals in Low-and Middle- Income Countries (LMICs) appear very different from those presently in High-Income Countries (HICs). After all, the scourges of communicable diseases such as AIDS, TB, and malaria are still responsible for a significant burden of disease and, along with the widespread and persistent shortfalls in the number and distribution of critical skilled health workers, makes it difficult to imagine an alternative future. For example, the Lancet Commission on Essential Surgical Care estimates a minimum of 143 million additional surgical procedures are necessary each year to save lives and prevent disability1. Therefore, whilst the discourse in HICs is dominated by the opportunities that disruptive technology brings to the future of hospitals, in the rest of the world there appears to be a resignation to a state of perpetual catch-up. This default setting could be a serious misreading of the LMIC trajectory. Forecasting the future of hospitals in low and middle-income countries (pdf 58.90kB)